I’m with Tynan. Not only is the technology immature, the companies are not reliable or trustworthy at all: https://danluu.com/cruise-report/

I still see lots of people extolling the virtues of writing ~daily, at least privately. Do you believe in that, and still write lots outside the blog as journals, in letters to friends or some other format? Or do you feel writing just doesn’t provide as much value to you as in the past?

In the same vein, you used to have goals that were, if not explicitly about fame, at least correlated with it (writing books, the record deal, etc). Now you say you’re leaning more into private endeavors. Is this just a coincidental nature of what you’re interested in now, like you’re just naturally needing to be more private because you’re working directly with people who require discretion or similar issues, or is it a deliberate avoidance of being in the spotlight? If the latter, what’s changed, your views on fame or perhaps the nature of fame itself lately (more fear of threats, cancellation, other…)?

I’m personally with Tynan on this. It requires computers to handle novel situations and to process huge amounts of data in realtime. The stakes are high if they fail.

I just tried the apple vision pro since demos are no longer booked up and I think it will definitely eventually be something that many people use for work and entertainment. However it’s going to be about 8 years before high end stuff is good enough for the general market and another 8 before it’s affordable. My Bigscreen Beyond and the AVP make me excited for the future of ar/vr. I wouldn’t recommend getting the Bigscreen Beyond. It’s amazingly light and the visuals are stunning however the lenses are a bit of a lottery and can have a lot of glare. I personally think it’s worth it for me but my situation is completely different.

I’m worried trump will be elected again. There are a number of ways he can lose but I’m not certain the democrats are competent enough to ensure a victory. It feels like a bit of a tossup.

It’s much, MUCH closer than you think. Just look at all the Waymo cars currently operating in SF.

I’m ready to wager money that probably Tesla (or some other company) will provide level 4/5 FSD in less than 10 years. I think probably even less than 5.